Romanian authorities are preparing a contingency plan for the gas market to ensure a smooth transition when regulated pricing ends, in case unexpected disruptions occur. Energy Minister Bogdan Ivan stated that the government is considering a phased approach to removing the gas price cap rather than eliminating it abruptly. The matter was discussed at a recent National Energy Command meeting, which reviewed preparations for the period following the expiration of the current cap on 31 March 2026. Consultations with gas suppliers and market operators began in September to design multiple scenarios and prevent sharp price swings like those previously seen in the electricity sector.
Current assessments indicate that gas prices are unlikely to rise after the cap is lifted. The Minister noted that Romania’s strong domestic gas production has already allowed some suppliers to offer prices below the regulated ceiling even under the current framework.
Looking further ahead, the government is taking into account long-term supply developments, including the planned start of production at the Neptun Deep offshore project in 2027, which is expected to boost energy security and help maintain price stability. In the event of unexpected market deterioration, the alternative plan would involve a gradual easing of the cap, potentially through monthly reductions of 8–10% until April 2027, with particular attention to the winter months, when household and industrial gas demand peaks.
Minister Ivan emphasized that the goal is not to extend heavy state intervention, but to guide the market toward stability. The intended outcome is a competitive gas market that provides predictable and fair prices while avoiding sudden shocks for both consumers and the broader economy.