The real hedge is flexibility: Lessons from SEE power desks

In volatile power systems, traders learn quickly what works and what does not. Strategies that look elegant on paper but fail under stress are abandoned. What remains are approaches that survive extreme conditions — tight systems, forecast errors, congestion, and sudden price spikes. Across South-East Europe, power desks have converged on a simple conclusion: flexibility outperforms […]

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From price hedging to shape hedging: The next phase of SEE power risk management

For most industrial electricity buyers in South-East Europe, “hedging” still means one thing: fixing the price. This definition made sense in systems where price volatility was driven primarily by fuel costs, outages, or macro shocks, and where hourly price spreads were narrow. In such systems, locking in a forward price neutralised most meaningful risk. That

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Buying green power in a volatile grid: What SEE industrial CFOs are missing

For most industrial CFOs in South-East Europe, electricity procurement has historically sat just outside the core financial narrative. Power was an operating input, negotiated by procurement teams, reviewed annually, and managed within tolerable variance bands. Sustainability added a new dimension, but it did not fundamentally alter the financial treatment of electricity. That separation no longer

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Shape risk kills PPAs: The hidden cost for industrial buyers in solar-heavy markets

For most industrial electricity buyers in South-East Europe, price risk is still intuitively understood as a single number. When discussions turn to power procurement, the focus remains anchored on the average megawatt-hour price secured over a year. This mindset is increasingly disconnected from how power markets actually function. In solar-heavy systems, the dominant risk is

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Why most industrial PPAs in SEE fail on cash flow, not on sustainability

When industrial power purchase agreements are discussed in South-East Europe, the conversation almost always starts with sustainability. Emissions reduction, green certificates, alignment with EU policy, and reputational benefits dominate both internal presentations and external communication. In many cases, these objectives are genuinely achieved. The electricity delivered under PPAs is renewable, traceable, and compliant with decarbonisation

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Baseload industry meets variable PPAs: A structural mismatch in the SEE power system

For decades, industrial electricity demand in South-East Europe was shaped around one implicit assumption: power would be available when needed, at broadly stable prices, and with limited intraday differentiation. Steel mills, cement plants, chemical facilities, paper producers, food processors, and large fabrication plants built operating models around continuous or semi-continuous load profiles. Electricity was treated

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Industrial power buying in SEE is broken – and what replaces it

For more than two decades, industrial electricity procurement in South-East Europe followed a relatively simple logic. Secure a long-term supply contract, prioritise price level over structure, and treat electricity as a predictable operating cost rather than a strategic risk variable. Even when liberalisation progressed and exchanges emerged, most industrial buyers continued to anchor decisions around

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Industrial self-generation and storage: Evolving from backup to strategic core

For most of Serbia’s industrial history, on-site power generation and storage occupied a marginal role. Diesel generators existed for emergencies, gas engines for niche applications, and electrical storage was largely absent. These assets were treated as insurance policies—rarely used, reluctantly maintained, and economically justified only by the risk of blackouts. That framing no longer reflects

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Industrial PPAs in Serbia: The hidden costs of underperformance without storage

Power purchase agreements have become one of the most discussed instruments in Serbia’s industrial energy transition. For manufacturers under pressure to decarbonise, stabilise costs and demonstrate long-term energy security, PPAs appear to offer a clean solution. A renewable generator supplies electricity at a fixed or indexed price over many years, emissions are reduced, and exposure

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Industrial power strategies in Serbia: From fixed pricing to managing shape risk

For most Serbian industrial consumers, power hedging has historically meant one thing: securing a fixed price. The logic was simple and rational in a system dominated by coal and hydropower. Electricity prices moved slowly, volatility was limited, and the main risk to manage was gradual upward drift. Fixing a price over one or two years

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