During the week of September 21, electricity demand fell in most major European power markets versus the previous week. Italy saw the largest decrease at 3.7%, followed by Belgium with a 3.5% decline. Germany recorded a 2.2% fall after four consecutive weeks of increases.
France and Spain posted smaller weekly decreases of 0.9% and 0.2%, respectively. Italy, France and Spain recorded their third consecutive weekly declines in electricity demand. In contrast, demand rose in Great Britain and Portugal over the same period.
The British market registered the largest increase at 5.3%, following the decline from the previous week. Portugal saw demand rise by 1.2%, marking its fourth consecutive week of growth. These changes coincided with temperature movements across the analysed markets.
Temperature changes alongside weekly demand shifts
Average temperatures declined in most analysed markets during the week of September 21. Germany recorded the largest drop at 3.1°C, followed by Italy with a 2.1°C decrease and Belgium with a 1.9°C decline. Temperatures fell by 0.8°C in both France and Great Britain.
Portugal and Spain moved in the opposite direction, with average temperatures increasing by 1.2°C and 0.8°C, respectively. For the week of September 28, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting expects electricity demand to increase in Portugal, Great Britain, Belgium and France.
AleaSoft forecasts demand to decline in Italy, Spain and Germany for the week of September 28. The company links the differing trends to combined effects from temperature changes and market-specific consumption patterns as Europe moves further into autumn.