Why most industrial PPAs in SEE fail on cash flow, not on sustainability

When industrial power purchase agreements are discussed in South-East Europe, the conversation almost always starts with sustainability. Emissions reduction, green certificates, alignment with EU policy, and reputational benefits dominate both internal presentations and external communication. In many cases, these objectives are genuinely achieved. The electricity delivered under PPAs is renewable, traceable, and compliant with decarbonisation […]

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Baseload industry meets variable PPAs: A structural mismatch in the SEE power system

For decades, industrial electricity demand in South-East Europe was shaped around one implicit assumption: power would be available when needed, at broadly stable prices, and with limited intraday differentiation. Steel mills, cement plants, chemical facilities, paper producers, food processors, and large fabrication plants built operating models around continuous or semi-continuous load profiles. Electricity was treated

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Industrial power buying in SEE is broken – and what replaces it

For more than two decades, industrial electricity procurement in South-East Europe followed a relatively simple logic. Secure a long-term supply contract, prioritise price level over structure, and treat electricity as a predictable operating cost rather than a strategic risk variable. Even when liberalisation progressed and exchanges emerged, most industrial buyers continued to anchor decisions around

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Industrial self-generation and storage: Evolving from backup to strategic core

For most of Serbia’s industrial history, on-site power generation and storage occupied a marginal role. Diesel generators existed for emergencies, gas engines for niche applications, and electrical storage was largely absent. These assets were treated as insurance policies—rarely used, reluctantly maintained, and economically justified only by the risk of blackouts. That framing no longer reflects

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Industrial PPAs in Serbia: The hidden costs of underperformance without storage

Power purchase agreements have become one of the most discussed instruments in Serbia’s industrial energy transition. For manufacturers under pressure to decarbonise, stabilise costs and demonstrate long-term energy security, PPAs appear to offer a clean solution. A renewable generator supplies electricity at a fixed or indexed price over many years, emissions are reduced, and exposure

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Industrial power strategies in Serbia: From fixed pricing to managing shape risk

For most Serbian industrial consumers, power hedging has historically meant one thing: securing a fixed price. The logic was simple and rational in a system dominated by coal and hydropower. Electricity prices moved slowly, volatility was limited, and the main risk to manage was gradual upward drift. Fixing a price over one or two years

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Rising energy costs: Serbia’s emerging industrial bottleneck

For most of the last two decades Serbia’s industrial competitiveness was framed around familiar variables: labour cost, tax stability, logistics access to the EU, and a reasonably priced electricity system anchored in domestic lignite and hydropower. Energy was important, but it was largely treated as a predictable input—cheap enough, stable enough, and rarely decisive on

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Serbia as Europe’s hydrogen hub: From transit geography to hydrogen-ready metallurgy and industrial strength (2030–2045)

Europe’s hydrogen transition will not be decided by how many gigawatts of electrolysers are announced, nor by how ambitious national strategies appear on paper. It will be decided by corridors. Hydrogen, unlike electricity, does not flow freely across borders without friction. It requires physical continuity, pressure management, storage, regulation, and—most importantly—industrial offtake dense enough to

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Hydrogen metallurgy: Europe’s industrial future and Serbia’s strategic opportunity

Europe’s decarbonisation agenda is accelerating faster in steel and metallurgy than in almost any other heavy industry. The European Green Deal, CBAM implementation, rising carbon costs, corporate ESG commitments, and trade-policy alignment with global decarbonisation frameworks have fundamentally changed the economics of metal production. Steel, aluminium, copper and high-alloy materials are all moving toward electrification,

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Electricity prices, flexibility, and export competitiveness of Serbian industry (2026–2035)

Electricity has become one of the most decisive strategic variables shaping Serbia’s export competitiveness into the European Union. What was once treated as a background operating cost has evolved into a multidimensional factor influencing margins, contract stability, financing conditions, and regulatory compliance. Between 2026 and 2035, Serbian producers exporting to the EU will operate in

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